Compendium of evidence
The burden of proof remains on ICRP/ NRPB.
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1) studies on which radiation protection standards are
based, and those which undermine them:
RERF 1971
Studies of the Mortality of A-Bomb Survivors. According to ICRP/ NRPB
this study is "pivotal" in establishing a dose/response model for
radiation.
... keystone data, according to nuclear apologist Marvin Goldman, are derived from this elegant and careful study.
These studies are completely silent about risks from internal isotopes,
since both the study group and the control group lived in the bombed
cities and thus were equally exposed to ingesting and inhaling fallout
isotopes.
Early reports of cancer incidence at Hiroshima were seriously out
of line with those later used to set risk factors.
(ICRP 1965)
The high dose data points established from the exposed group has been
extrapolated in a linear fashion to the low dose region. This extrapolation
has been widely criticised:
Goodhead (Bramhall 1997)
calls the extrapolation "a large region of uncertainty".
Wright (Edwards 1997)
questions the relevance of bomb survivors' data.
Sternglass
(Sternglass 1981)
Busby (Busby 1995, Busby and Scott-Cato 2000)
and Busby 2000a)
Gofman (Gofman 1990)
and A. Stewart
(Stewart 1982,
2000)
all attack it on various grounds.
Kneale Mancuso Stewart 1981
Cancer mortality in Hanford workers
shows a 15 - 20-fold error in risk factors derived from RERF 1971
Nussbaum 1994 (pp657-9)
a compendium of criticisms
Nussbaum 1998
a further overview which concludes that "contrary to
widely publised claims that current regulation of population exposures
are far too restrictive and thus unnecessarily costly for the radiation
industries, the aggregate of radiation epidemiological evidence suggests
that current standards are inadequate to protect public health."
STOA 1998
Wide ranging criticisms presented to the European
Parliament in February 1998
Burlakova 1996
Hohenemser and others 1986 have drawn attention to the
hot particle problem:-
"To our knowledge the biological effects of 1 - 2µm beta-emitting
particles are not well described. Average dose calculations may not
be valid for predicting consequences. [permanent lung deposition implies]
a substantial zone of cell lethality at short distances followed by
an annulus of very high but non-lethal dose..."
Busby 1995 includes a theoretical model (the Second Event theory)
of sequential local radiation dose.
NRPB (Cox 1996) has failed
to refute it
(as shown in Busby 1997c,
Busby 1998c)
Seymour C. Mothersill C. and Watt D. E. 1999
"...same criteria of absorbed dose do not apply to low level
radiation protection issues."; "... still we have not agreed on how best to predict the
actual biological effectiveness of a known radiation field with tolerable accuracy without
resorting to empirical techniques even for the simplest of mammalian cells. Amid this
chaos, the validity of the fundamental concepts must surely be suspect, even if only
intuitively?
To make a realistic prediction of damage using absorbed dose, we have to resort to clever
tricks ..." etc etc etc
Other categories of evidence:
2) epidemiological studies showing a risk not accounted
for by NRPB/ ICRP model
3) studies which are said to demonstrate that there is
no unappreciated risk but which have demonstrable flaws or which do,
in fact, show an excess risk.
4) animal studies.
References
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